LoadCast

EV Fleet Grid Impact Estimator

Developed by Energy Infrastructure Partners
Important These figures are preliminary planning estimates intended to provide general insight into your fleet's charging infrastructure requirements. They are not a substitute for utility-led engineering analysis. Final sizing, equipment selection, and coordination timelines must come from your utility through their own project-specific review.

Fleet ConfigurationEnter your fleet's details to start planning your charging infrastructure.

Enter fleet and charging details below to estimate the power needed. Results update automatically once a vehicle's details are complete, so you don't need to "submit" each vehicle. Already have an EV fleet and adding more? Switch to + Existing to include your current fleet in the estimate.
# VehicleVehicle list based on Version 8 (June 2026) of the WAZIP eligible vehicles and equipment catalog. Column guide for Vehicle ClassVehicle weight class, automatically populated from your selection. Daily MilesEstimated average miles driven per day per vehicle. Column guide for Daily Miles Charge StartTime the vehicle plugs in to begin charging. Column guide for Charge Start Charge EndTime the vehicle must be ready for service. Column guide for Charge End Charger TypeCharger model. The effective charging rate caps at the vehicle's maximum acceptance rate. Column guide for Charger Type Op Days/MoOperating days per month. Default 22 (weekdays only). Range: 1 to 31. Column guide for Op Days/Mo StatusRow status. Green = ready. Gray italic = input missing. Amber = soft warning. Red = error, row excluded from totals. Full status guide ActionsDuplicate copies this row into the next empty row. Reset returns this row to defaults.

Charging Scenario AnalysisCompare your fleet's estimated peak demand under four coincidence factors. Click any card to use it as the basis for infrastructure sizing.

Results update automatically once a vehicle's details are complete. Click any scenario card to use it as the basis for the Recommended Infrastructure Sizing below. Scope pills are color-coded green (lowest impact) to red (highest).

Recommended Infrastructure SizingPreliminary planning estimates, not a substitute for utility engineering. See the sizing basis and tiers, and contact your utility early.

Based on the Conservative scenario (CF 0.85) with a 25% growth margin.
Your utility is your partner in getting fleet infrastructure right. Contact them at purchase order submission so they can plan capacity, equipment, and service coordination in parallel with your vehicle procurement. The sooner the conversation starts, the more flexibility both teams have to align infrastructure delivery with your fleet rollout.

Estimated Energy ConsumptionThe energy the fleet needs to recover its daily miles; charger type and charging window do not change it. How energy is calculated.

iDaily miles times each vehicle's energy use per mile. Charger speed does not change it.
Daily
Not calculated yet
iDaily energy times operating days per month (Op Days, default 22).
Monthly
Not calculated yet
iMonthly energy times twelve. Actual use varies with season and utilization.
Annual
Not calculated yet
Contact your utility the moment you submit your fleet purchase order, not after delivery. The cost of utility coordination is mostly time. Equipment lead times for utility-owned infrastructure (transformers, switchgear, primary service) range from weeks to multiple years. None of these timelines start until the utility has your service request in hand.

Methodology & Reference

Hover the info icons in the scenario and sizing tables for short explanations. Expand below for the full methodology.

Your Fleet and Vehicles

Vehicle list and what is included

Vehicles come from two published sources: the WAZIP Vehicle Equipment Catalog (Version 8, June 2026) for the new-fleet planner, and the HVIP eligible vehicles list for the existing-fleet section. Both span medium- and heavy-duty classes, roughly Class 3 through Class 8.

One row is one vehicle. Each row represents a single VIN on a single duty cycle, mirroring how WAZIP accounts for vehicles: per voucher, per VIN, at delivery. Each row carries one charge window. Vehicles that plug in at different times of day belong on separate rows, even identical models, so every schedule is counted correctly.

Battery-electric only, no hydrogen. The list includes battery-electric vehicles only. Hydrogen and fuel-cell vehicles are deliberately excluded: they draw their energy from hydrogen rather than the electrical grid, so they add no charging load to size for.

Fleet Config columns, statuses, and voucher cap

Input columns. What each column in the Fleet Config table expects.

ColumnWhat to enter
VehicleThe vehicle from the catalog. The new-fleet list is the WAZIP Vehicle Equipment Catalog V8 (June 2026); the existing-fleet list adds the HVIP eligible vehicles (June 2026). Class fills in automatically.
Daily MilesEstimated average miles driven per day, per vehicle.
Charge StartTime the vehicle plugs in to begin charging.
Charge EndTime the vehicle must be ready for service. Charge Start and Charge End set the charging window; the tool wraps past midnight.
Charger TypeThe charger model. The effective charging rate caps at the vehicle's maximum acceptance rate, so a charger larger than the vehicle accepts does not raise the rate.
Op Days/MoOperating days per month, used for monthly and annual energy. Default 22 (weekdays only). Whole number from 1 to 31.

Row status. Every row in the Fleet Config table carries a status. Color groups them by severity: green is ready, gray is incomplete, amber is an advisory, and red is a blocking error that must be resolved before the row counts toward your estimate.

StatusColorWhat it means and what to do
ReadyGreenThe row is complete and valid, and contributes to the peak-demand and energy totals.
Add Daily Miles / Select Charger TypeGrayThe row is incomplete. Fill in the missing field; the row does not count until it is complete.
Charger oversizedAmberThe charger's rated output exceeds what the vehicle accepts. The row still counts, but the effective rate caps at the vehicle's maximum, so the extra charger capacity does nothing for this vehicle.
Daily miles exceed vehicle rangeRedThe route is longer than the vehicle's rated range on one charge, which would require midday opportunity charging (not modeled here). Reduce miles or choose a longer-range vehicle.
Daily energy exceeds batteryRedThe route needs more energy than the battery holds. Reduce miles or choose a larger-battery vehicle.
Required charge rate exceeds chargerRedThe vehicle cannot recover its daily energy within the charging window at the chosen charger. Upgrade the charger or widen the Charge Start to Charge End window.
Charging window is 0 hoursRedCharge Start and Charge End are set to the same time. Set them to different hours.
Op Days out of rangeRedOperating Days per month must be a whole number from 1 to 31.
AC not accepted / DC not acceptedRedThe charger type does not match the vehicle. Some trucks accept DC fast charging only, others AC Level 2 only. Switch to the charger the vehicle supports.

WAZIP voucher cap. WAZIP allows 10 active voucher requests at a time and up to 30 per biennium, through June 30, 2027. The planner lets you enter up to 30 vehicles so you can plan the full biennium; vehicles beyond 10 are shaded as planning-only, a reminder that only 10 can be active at once. See the WAZIP Implementation Manual, Section 2.3.a.

Peak Demand and Charging Scenarios

How these estimates are calculated

Here is where each number comes from, and where we estimate. Reach out to your utility for a complete, authoritative review of your infrastructure requirements.

Where the vehicle data comes from. The WAZIP eligible vehicles catalog (V8) and the HVIP eligible vehicles list publish only battery capacity, vehicle class, and voucher amount. They do not publish charge rates, range, or efficiency. Those come from manufacturer spec sheets and HVIP's per-vehicle pages. Where a value is not published anywhere, we apply a stated planning assumption (for example, onboard AC defaults to 19.2 kW, the standard Level 2 maximum) or a class-based estimate.

Efficiency is derived, not published. No EPA efficiency rating exists for medium- and heavy-duty trucks, and the catalogs do not publish one, so we derive it: efficiency in kWh per mile equals rated battery capacity divided by published rated range. Where a manufacturer does not publish range, we use a class-based planning estimate. This is the energy the battery delivers per mile; it does not include charging losses, the energy lost converting grid power into stored charge. It is also a nominal figure: real efficiency shifts with temperature, terrain and grade, driving style, payload, and auxiliary loads like climate control, so actual energy use can run meaningfully higher.

Charge-rate assumptions. Effective charge rate is the lower of the charger's rated output and the vehicle's maximum acceptance rate. Where onboard AC is unpublished we default to 19.2 kW Level 2. Where a DC figure is a charging-station capability rather than the vehicle's acceptance, we correct it down to what the vehicle can actually accept.

Peak demand and coincidence factor. The theoretical maximum is the sum of effective charge rates, every charger at full power at once. The four scenarios apply coincidence factors because fleets rarely all charge simultaneously.

Infrastructure sizing. Service capacity is the conservative peak times 1.25, a 25% growth margin; transformer size is the next standard rating above that. See Sizing Basis for the tier definitions.

What is estimated, and why it still helps. More than half the fleet carries at least one inferred spec. These are planning figures, not published ratings, and they affect energy totals more than peak-kW sizing.

Coincidence factor: what it is and why it matters

The coincidence factor (CF) is the ratio of actual simultaneous peak demand to the theoretical maximum if every charger drew full power at the same instant. CF = 1.00 means every vehicle charges at full rate simultaneously.

Most utilities default to CF = 1.00 when sizing infrastructure for an EV fleet, and for good reason: a utility is responsible for reliability, so it provisions enough capacity for every charger to run at full power at once, even though a depot fleet rarely does. The tradeoff is that a fleet sized only to that worst case can be quoted more transformer, service, or substation capacity than its real charging pattern will draw. Sharing a realistic coincidence factor lets the utility size the connection to the fleet's actual load while keeping the reliability margin it needs.

The four scenarios.

  • Maximum, CF 1.00: every charger at full power simultaneously. The utility's default when it has no information; protects reliability but rarely occurs.
  • Conservative, CF 0.85: unmanaged plug-in charging with natural arrival stagger, the realistic baseline with no software.
  • Moderate, CF 0.70: charge start times staggered 15 to 60 minutes via EVSE software.
  • Optimized, CF 0.50: real-time demand signals allocate power dynamically; requires a managed-charging platform with demand response.

Sources: DOE Federal Fleet Guidance, EnergyHub (2023), Revel Brooklyn Superhub, NREL (2021), NREL delayed-charging analysis, and CEC AB 2127 EV Charging Infrastructure Assessment (2021).

Demand Management Strategies
Understanding demand charges

Your commercial electricity bill has two separate cost components. The first is the energy charge: a straightforward cost per kilowatt-hour consumed, similar to a household bill. The second is the demand charge, and this is where fleets often get caught off guard.

Your utility measures your single highest 15-minute power draw during the billing month and charges a fee based on that peak. That fee applies for the entire month, whether the spike happened once or every day. So if ten trucks all plug in at the same time on one Tuesday evening and create a 400 kW surge, you pay a demand charge based on 400 kW for the whole month.

Simultaneous EV charging is almost purpose-built to trigger high demand charges. For large fleets, demand charges can account for 30% to 50% of a monthly electricity bill. Understanding this is the starting point for evaluating any load management strategy, because most of the financial benefits from managed charging software and battery buffers flow directly from reducing or eliminating that peak.

Managed charging software

Managed charging is software that controls when and how fast each vehicle charges, so your site never draws more power than a set limit. Instead of every truck plugging in and pulling full power at once, the platform staggers and throttles individual chargers automatically. You still get every vehicle fully charged by morning. Your utility sees a much lower peak.

For fleet operators, this has three direct financial benefits. First, it reduces your demand charge by flattening the spike that would otherwise set your monthly peak. Second, if your utility offers time-of-use rates (cheaper electricity during off-peak overnight hours), a managed charging platform can automatically schedule charging to take advantage of those lower rates without any manual coordination. Third, a lower demonstrated peak gives your utility a basis to size your infrastructure to a smaller, less expensive scope than the worst-case assumption, reducing upfront capital cost.

Basic scheduling typically cuts peak draw by 15% to 30% with no hardware changes. More advanced platforms that respond to real-time signals from your utility can reduce your peak by closer to 50%. Most commercial charging station management systems include scheduling as a standard feature, but capabilities vary widely across vendors.

Engaging your utility early, before you take delivery, gives you time to find the right infrastructure fit and explore which charging management options work for your operation, your site, and your budget. Vendors, your utility, and resources like the DOE's FEMP program are all good starting points for that research.

References: Smart Charge Management for Federal Fleets — DOE FEMP  |  Electric Vehicle Managed Charging — NREL (2022)

Battery-buffered charging

A battery buffer is an on-site battery system that charges slowly from the grid overnight and then powers your chargers during the vehicle charging window. Your utility sees a steady, modest draw instead of a large spike. This can significantly reduce the size of the electrical service your utility needs to install.

The most immediate financial benefit is avoiding or deferring a large infrastructure upgrade. Transformer replacements and new primary service installations can run from tens of thousands to several hundred thousand dollars, with lead times of 18 months or more. A battery buffer can allow you to start charging your fleet at a lower initial service size, getting vehicles on the road sooner while permanent infrastructure is planned and funded. In some cases it can eliminate the need for a major upgrade entirely.

On an ongoing basis, the battery buffer continuously reduces your demand charge by preventing the charging spike from ever reaching the grid. NREL analysis finds that a properly sized system can reduce required grid service capacity by 50% to 80%. If your utility offers lower overnight rates, the battery charges during cheap hours and discharges during expensive ones, adding energy cost savings on top of the demand charge reduction.

The tradeoffs are upfront cost for the battery system and some added complexity managing charge schedules. A battery buffer does not eliminate the need to coordinate with your utility. They still need to know your full requirements, and the battery system itself needs to be connected to an appropriate service entrance.

References: Battery-Buffered EV Charging — DriveElectric.gov  |  The Critical Role of Energy Storage in Fleet Electrification — Wattstor

Infrastructure Sizing and Timelines

Sizing basis and infrastructure tiers

Sizing basis is the coincidence-factor scenario you select as the basis for the recommended infrastructure (it defaults to Conservative, CF 0.85). The estimated peak under that scenario maps to a scope and an infrastructure tier:

Estimated peakScopeInfrastructure tierWhat it means
≤ 50 kWPanel onlyPanel Upgrade OnlyUsually handled at the existing panel by a site electrician with utility notification. Fastest path. Your utility sets the actual timeline.
51 to 150 kWStandardNew Transformer RequiredNew meter base or service entrance, often a new or upgraded service transformer. Coordination typically measured in months. Your utility sets the actual timeline.
151 to 500 kWSignificantDedicated TransformerThe utility installs or upgrades a dedicated distribution transformer. Plan for months, longer when equipment is back-ordered. Your utility sets the actual timeline.
501 kW to 2 MWMajorPrimary Service RequiredNew primary service, possibly switchgear. Often a year or more, driven by large-equipment lead times. Your utility sets the actual timeline.
Over 2 MWSubstation levelSubstation Upgrade RequiredSubstation capacity or a new substation. Multi-year. Your utility sets the actual timeline.

Sizing terms. What each recommended number means.

TermWhat it is
Service Capacity (kVA)The basis peak multiplied by 1.25, a 25% growth margin for fleet expansion and future operational changes. This is what the utility provisions at the meter.
Transformer Size (kVA)The next standard ANSI/IEEE nameplate above the service capacity. Standard ratings: 75, 112.5, 150, 225, 300, 500, 750, 1000, 1500, 2000, and 2500 kVA.
Panel AmperageThe current at the service panel: service kVA divided by voltage times the square root of three. Shown at 480V (industrial and commercial fleets with high-power chargers) and 208V (smaller commercial fleets and Level 2 AC charging).

Why timelines matter. Grid equipment lead times have stretched well beyond historical norms. As of 2025, distribution transformers ran roughly 30 to 50 weeks, up from about 12 weeks before 2020, and large power transformers averaged around two to two and a half years, with the biggest units longer. New large loads are commonly quoted 18 to 36 months to energize. Industry and federal analysts agree the single most effective way to shorten your timeline is to engage your utility early, before you finalize vehicle purchases.

Sources: Utility Dive / NREL, U.S. Department of Energy, POWER Magazine.

Energy Use Over Time

Daily, monthly, and annual energy

Daily. The sum of each vehicle's daily miles times its derived energy use per mile. Charger type and the charging window do not affect it; a vehicle needs the same energy to recover its miles no matter how fast it charges.

Monthly. Each vehicle's daily energy times its operating days per month, using the Op Days value for the row. Rows with no Op Days entry default to 22.

Annual. Monthly energy times twelve, a consistent-schedule baseline. Actual annual use varies with seasonal routes, scheduled maintenance, and changes in fleet utilization.

These are energy totals, not an hour-by-hour load curve. The tool does not model how load rises and falls across the day; a time-of-day profile is a separate analysis your utility or a load-management study provides.